Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.057824 0.067578 0.078445 0.091444 0.106571 0.123619 0.144293
2025-09-28 0.041113 0.053364 0.068465 0.088439 0.114160 0.146174 0.189073
2025-10-05 0.033285 0.046807 0.064815 0.090524 0.126283 0.174273 0.243631
2025-10-12 0.027653 0.041539 0.061243 0.091198 0.135577 0.198925 0.296323
2025-10-19 0.023477 0.037338 0.058115 0.091465 0.143641 0.222181 0.349542
2025-10-26 0.020555 0.034400 0.056194 0.092910 0.153205 0.248354 0.410125
2025-11-02 0.018516 0.032460 0.055408 0.095805 0.165135 0.279326 0.481983
2025-11-09 0.015786 0.028900 0.051397 0.092661 0.166445 0.292916 0.526508
2025-11-16 0.013993 0.026674 0.049286 0.092378 0.172428 0.314818 0.587751
2025-11-23 0.012401 0.024560 0.047048 0.091477 0.177038 0.334634 0.647452
2025-11-30 0.011389 0.023382 0.046343 0.093273 0.186767 0.364723 0.729746
2025-12-07 0.010195 0.021668 0.044371 0.092313 0.190978 0.384777 0.795001
2025-12-14 0.008988 0.019776 0.041842 0.089984 0.192332 0.399777 0.852894
2025-12-21 0.007888 0.017953 0.039214 0.087100 0.192173 0.411752 0.906248
2025-12-28 0.007357 0.017292 0.038933 0.089168 0.202758 0.447117 1.013593
2026-01-04 0.006772 0.016422 0.038075 0.089834 0.210324 0.476903 1.112457
2026-01-11 0.006223 0.015554 0.037104 0.090098 0.216985 0.505440 1.212038
2026-01-18 0.005810 0.014952 0.036659 0.091522 0.226498 0.541471 1.333434
2026-01-25 0.005522 0.014618 0.036802 0.094374 0.239773 0.587724 1.484895
2026-02-01 0.004924 0.013407 0.034658 0.091277 0.238045 0.598195 1.550347
2026-02-08 0.004539 0.012699 0.033676 0.090998 0.243363 0.626376 1.663631
2026-02-15 0.004164 0.011962 0.032520 0.090110 0.246989 0.650746 1.770177
2026-02-22 0.003944 0.011624 0.032367 0.091880 0.257864 0.694840 1.934036